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  • Gary Porpora

NFL 2023 - WEEK FOURTEEN PICKS AGAINST THE SPREAD

NFL 2023 – TALLY WEEK FOURTEEN =  7 - 6 

WEEKLY OVERALL =  97– 91 - 5   

0/U  =  3 - 3          O/U CUMULATIVE 50 - 42   .543

SPECIALS  2 -2      SPECIALS CUMULATIVE  30 - 20 - 2   .600

GAME OF THE WEEK    8 – 4 - 1 LOCK OF THE WEEK   8 – 4 - 1 

UPSET SPECIAL     3 – 10              O/U OF THE WEEK   11 - 2

PREMIUM PICKS CUMULATIVE   =  80 - 62 - 2   .563


GAME OF THE WEEK

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) @ Dallas Cowboys (-3.5)  52.5  GW  [O]


I think the Bald Birds will play like champions after last week’s Santa Clara Massacre authored by the Goldminers.


The Cowboys are a different team at AT&T, but this matchup is divisional and both teams--as usual this time of year --are differently desperate--the Eagles know it’s a whole new struggle if they let Dallas have a legit shot at the division--and Philly needs to prove to themselves, they deserve to maintain their position at the top of he hill.


Dallas needs to stop the preening over one of the NFL’s easiest scedules and make a league-wide statement--now.  Their die-hard fans have been waiting for 27 years to justify their obnoxiousness.  


We think the wait is over.  Dallas wins with a walk-off field goal--the Eagles cover.  We’re calling the Over.


Cowboys  33

Eagles  30


LOCK OF THE WEEK

Los Angeles Rams (+7.5) @ Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) 44.5 LW  [U]


We think the Ravens are the bet the AFC has to offer.  Lamar Jackson’s recent illness won’t be a factor moving forward.


The Rams simply aren’t as good of a team in any aspect.


The Ravens win comfortably--play the Under.


Ravens  26

Rams  17


UPSET SPECIAL

Denver Broncos (+3) @ Los Angeles Chargers (-3) 44.5  US  [U]


Not sure how reliable this line is--we think the Nags are playing great football.  Sean Payton has steadied the ship;  Russel Wilson has been reborn.


In L.A., Brandon Staley’s boys keep making fundamental mistakes, and they don’t play up to the talent on their roster.


I’ve been betting on Denver as a dog all year--they let me down last week, but the Chargers are currently one of the most unpredictable teams out there--and they can be expected to lose a close game.


We’re going with the Under...


Broncos  23

Chargers  21


OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK

Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals (+2.5) 40.5 O/U


We thought this Total would be closer to 43; this is a high-value pick


Even with back-up QBs the offenses here should produce at least that many points.  Cincy fields one of the poorest defenses in the league--last in  surrendering YPG and giving up a whopping 6.1 YPP.


Indy wins it going away...


Colts  27

Bengals 22


As usual, my entire slate of picks is below in bold italics...


NFL WEEK 14 POINT SPREADS: 

Date              Spread Over Under

TNF  11/30

New England Patriots (+5.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5) 31,5 [O]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5) @ Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) 39

Los Angeles Rams (+7.5) @ Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) 44.5 LW  [U]

Detroit Lions (-3.5) @ Chicago Bears (+3.5) 44.5

Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals (+2.5) 40.5 O/U

Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) @ Cleveland Browns (+3) 37.5

Carolina Panthers (+5.5) @ New Orleans Saints (-5.5) 38.5

Houston Texans (-3.5) @ New York Jets (+3.5) 36.5

Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) @ Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5) 40.5  

Seattle Seahawks (+12.5) @ San Francisco 49ers (-12.5) 46 

Buffalo Bills (+1.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5) 48.5  

Denver Broncos (+3) @ Los Angeles Chargers (-3) 44.5  US  [U]

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) @ Dallas Cowboys (-3.5)  52.5  GW  [U]

Tennessee Titans (+13) @ Miami Dolphins (-13) 46.5  [U]

Green Bay Packers (-6) @ New York Giants (+6) 38  [O]

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NFL 2023 – CHAMPIONSHIP PLAYOFF WEEKEND REG. SEASON WEEKLY OVERALL =  134 – 132 - 6   .504 CHAMPIONSHIP  TALLY =  0 - 2    PLAYOFFS = 3 - 9 =  .250 2023 OVERALL  = 137 - 141 - 6  =  .493 0/U  =  0 -2 

NFL 2023 CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND

REG. SEASON WEEKLY OVERALL =  134 – 132 - 6   .504 DIVISIONAL TALLY =  0 - 4    PLAYOFFS = 3 - 7  OVERALL  = 137 - 139 - 6 0/U  =  1 - 2  - 1          O/U CUMULATIVE 77 - 61 - 1   .558 SPECIALS  0 - 4

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NFL 2023 – SUPER WILD CARD WEEKEND REG. SEASON WEEKLY OVERALL =  134 – 132 - 6   .504 PLAYOFF TALLY =  3 - 3  OVERALL  137 - 135 - 6  .504 0/U  =  5 - 1          O/U CUMULATIVE 76 - 59   .563 SPECIALS

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