2021 Week One Picks
Week 1 2021
My boys came down this weekend and we had a Mexican fiesta---my future daughter-in-law’s family is from Mexico--complete with rubbed, mesquite grilled tri-tip homemade guac and my killer Margaritas.
2021 Week One’s picks will be short and sweet.
We’re still good in our pick-em pool but we were wrong every which way but Brady in our TNF and Game of the Week call.
We proved Rule One of Week One—Offenses are always ahead of defenses during September. This year, coaches spent much less time, due to covid and one less pre-season game, evaluating talent. Which means tackling will be atrocious and a lot of points will be scored—generally.
Lock of the Week
SAN FRANSISCO 49ERS @ DETROIT LIONS +7.5 46 [O]
Last three seasons the Gold Miners are 6-2 during the first four games of the seasons in the Central and Eastern time zones.
Detroit is 2-4 at home , same time period.
Yet again, Detroit must pull itself up from a disastrous coach, three years under yet another poisoned fruit from the Belichick tree, Matt Patricia.
There’s too much that has to go right for HC, Dan Campbell, and DC, Anthony Lynn in this game and for the entire 20121 campaign for this to be anything but a painful rebuilding year.
The table is set though—along with Jared Goff the Lions got two first rounders for sending Matt Stafford to L.A. Detroit still has no running game, a weak defense and a whole new “system” to learn but they addressed their iffy offensive line with seventh overall pick Penei Sewell. The Kid is huge, nasty, young, and is still a pup. He had the highest grade for a true freshman tackle in seven years.
San Fran is angry about losing 2020 to injuries, but I gotta wonder if John Lynch helped his team with the drama surrounding the QB situation—and they are built with a great defense and trench depth to make a legit run this year.
Take the Prospectors, give Detroit the 7.5 and make a big wager. We’re calling the Over…
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK
MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS +3 48 [O]
Keeping with the offenses being ahead of the defenses, were thinking Zach Taylor and Mike Zimmer are going to use their potent offensive arsenals, even with less than perfect, very young offensive lines.
These two staffs are great at taking care of their QBs, and compensating for their teams weaknesses. Kirk Cousins is kinda weird and streaky; Joe Burrow wants to make a statement to the league. Both QBs should be able to have a field day against average secondaries.
Since 2003 Cincy is top ten as a Home Dog; Minny is 24th as an away favorite.
Bengals +3 is the play—so is the Over.
GREEN BAY PACKERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -3 5.5 [O]
Four words: Aaron Rodgers against the Saints without Drew Brees.
Okay, seven words.
What little money I made last year, I made it off of Rodgers and the Pack…
I’m going to beat the horse until it’s reincarnated.
WEEK ONE PARLAY
Green Bay +3….Vikings/Bengals Over…San Fancisco +7.5
Thurs., Sept. 9
Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5, 52) GW (U)
Sunday, Sept. 12
Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills (-6, 49.5)
New York Jets at Carolina Panthers (-4.5, 43)
Jacksonville Jaguars (-3, 45.5) at Houston Texans
Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans (-2.5, 51)
Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 44.5) at Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5, 47.5)
Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts (-3, 52)
Minnesota Vikings (-3, 48) at Cincinnati Bengals
San Francisco 49ers (-7.5, 46) at Detroit Lions LW (O)
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5, 53)
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-2.5, 45)
Denver Broncos (-1, 42.5) at New York Giants
Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints (-3, 50.5) US (O)
Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams (-7, 44.5)
Monday, Sept. 13
Baltimore Ravens (-4, 51) at Las Vegas Raiders