WEEK 18 SATURDAY 1.8.22

Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5, 45) at Denver Broncos [U]

The Chiefs are still recovering from last week’s loss to the upstart Bengals. They are playing for a shot at the AFC’s top seed but need the Titans to lose at Houston; I don’t think that’s happening.

I think Andy Reid and his squad know that…

The Broncos will miss the post season for six straight years and Vic Fangio is doing the cat dance on a hot seat; but he hasn’t been making the front office decisions, Broncos ownership is in flux, and Fangio’s defense is one of the league’s best.

I’m looking for the Broncos to try and lift the recent and painful 0-12 record of futility against the Arrowheads; Patrick Mahomes has never lost to Denver (8-0). I think this line is a bit inflated because of that history.

Look for Denver to keep it within 10 and Kansas City to sit some people down, foregoing the effort to try for the bye…

Play the Under…

Chiefs 27

Broncos 17

Dallas Cowboys (-5, 43.5) at Philadelphia Eagles [O]

This should be a good one in the Land of Cheese Steaks because the Eagles are a vastly different team than the one Dallas throttled in Week three. Since then, the Eagles have morphed, almost in Kafka-esque fashion, into the NFL’s best rushing team, they’ve won four straight and six of their last seven—albeit against some bad football teams.

Dallas looks to me like they have a Super Bowl defense and their offense isn’t far behind.

Both teams are in and jockeying for playoff position, which won’t stop the Cowboys from playing it safe should a Micah Parsons or Dak Prescott get hurt.

I’ll take the Cowboys here due to their talent advantage on both sides of the ball.

Philly will stay within a touchdown; I just think Dallas will cover the Spread.

The Over is my cautious play here.

Cowboys 31

Eagles 25