NFL WEEK SIXTEEN TNF - PICK ATS
- Gary Porpora
- 4 days ago
- 2 min read
When: Thursday, December 18 at 8:15 pm ET
Where: Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington
Channel: Prime Video (Amazon)
Rams vs. Seahawks Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook accurate as of Tuesday, December 16. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Rams -110, Seahawks -110
Spread: Rams +1.5 (+102), Seahawks -1.5 (-122)
Total: Over 44.5 (-105), Under 44.5 (-115)
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks -1.5 42.5. GW [O]
This puppy is one of those rare TNF games featuring division rivals --with the best records in the NFC. A quick look at the match-up stats doesn’t, and shouldn’t, give either team a decisive edge. Even the slight advantages in my crucial stats analysis are a mixed bag...
Don’t know if my readers can access this break down, give it a shot--
If not, take my word for it; these two squads are elite. The Gulls are perceived as a very tough out at home but that isn’t true in recent history.
Since 2022 - (All stats ATS)
As Home Team: Seattle 13-19-1 .406
As Home Favorite: Seattle 8-11-1 .421
Under Mike McDonald, since 2024 --who we love as the perfect fit in Seattle--the Gulls are worse:
As Home Team: 6-10 .375
And via a small sample size, only slightly better laying points:
As Home Favorite = 5-4. .555
The Big Horns under Sean McVay...A Legit top three NFL Coach:
As Road Team = LA Rams 44-31-3 .587
As Road Dogs = LA Rams 17-13-3 .567
FUN FACTS
The NFC West fields three teams with double-digit wins..
Only ONE of these teams' six combined losses was decided by more than 3 points ...The Gulls Week One 17-13 loss to the Niners...
Neither team took a bad loss--i.e. losing to an awful team...
Seattle bested six bottom-level opponents...
The Big Horns only faced three NFL bottom feeders...
THE CALL
Los Angeles has the more accomplished coach who's been in tons of playoff games and won a Lombardi.
Seattle gets the nod for the better defense, but not by much--and how does their easier schedule influence that stat?
Matthew Stafford, at 112.2 is the highest rated NFL QB...Sam Darnold is fifth at 102... His Seahawks run a more balanced attack, (run/pass), but the Big Horns are more efficient--# 1 in YPP (6.2)...
I’d be very surprised if a field goal, or less, isn't the final margin of victory . We’re betting the Rams' consistency, discipline, better quality roster, and their edge in coaching and QB play will win the evening; we’re calling the Over.
Rams 24
Seahawks 22
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